XRP/ETH pair targets 160% rally according to bull market cycle history

The gap between XRP ( $1.16 ) and Ethereum ( $2,246.88 ) in terms of market cap has decreased drastically since November 2024, dropping roughly 33% over the past 4 months. This has increased the number of discussions in the community about a possible change in position for both assets. Recently,  XRP ( $1.16 ) ’s ( XRP ( $1.16 ) ) fully diluted valuation (FDV) managed to flip Ethereum ( $2,246.88 ) ; however, Ether (ETH) leads both market cap and FDV. 

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With a $124 billion market cap discrepancy, one analyst identified a parabolic scenario for XRP ( $1.16 ) , which according to data, has historical credibility. 

XRP ( $1.16 ) /ETH eyes pivotal resistance breakout

Dom, an XRP ( $1.16 ) market analyst, recently compared different timelines for the XRP ( $1.16 ) /ETH chart that displayed XRP ( $1.16 ) ’s attempt to break a long-term resistance against its counterpart.

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As shown above, the XRP ( $1.16 ) /ETH pair is at a critical junction under the 0.0012 overhead resistance level, which has historically triggered a parabolic rally of 160% when breached. This multi-week outperformance for XRP ( $1.16 ) possibly positions the altcoin for another breakout in 2025.

Dom said that if XRP ( $1.16 ) can break through its current resistance level, it might rally on its own against ETH. Even if it only achieves half its typical past gains (about 80%), it could still surpass ETH in market cap.

Meanwhile, Bobby A, a crypto trader, believed that despite being in a “highly fearful market environment,” XRP ( $1.16 ) has gained price acceptance above its previous cycle high from April 2021.

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Irrespective of market volatility for the rest of 2025, the analyst predicted that XRP ( $1.16 ) price could average around $2.29 to $2.61 in mid-2025, supported by market trends and the asset’s breakout from a long-term accumulation pattern.

Related: Why is the Ripple SEC case still ongoing amid a sea of resolutions?

XRP ( $1.16 ) futures traders remain sidelined

XRP ( $1.16 ) price jumped 15% over the past day in anticipation of the upcoming crypto summit in the White House, with the markets speculating positive news catalysts.

Alongside its price rise, onchain activity also exhibited a significant spike, with daily active addresses increasing by 135,000 on March 4. Over the past week, active addresses surged by 620%, rising from 74,589 to 462,650 since Feb. 28.

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However, data from $75,951.00 ) OpenInterest" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank" text="null" title="https://www.coinglass.com/ Bitcoin ( $75,951.00 ) OpenInterest">CoinGlass suggested that XRP ( $1.16 ) futures traders were still inactive in the markets. After future open interest (OI) dropped by 63% between Jan. 18 and March 1 ($7.87 billion to $2.92 billion), the OI has registered a minor tick of 15% over the past few days, suggesting a lack of interest in the futures and perpetual market.

Related: Bitcoin ( $75,951.00 ) price metric that called 2020 bull run says $69K new bottom

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.